陳茂波：全年經濟增長預測修訂至4.0%至5.0% 短期內搞活香港夜市
通關後，香港打開大門迎接各地旅客。財政司司長陳茂波今日(13日)在網誌表示，預計私人消費和訪港旅遊業仍然是下半年的主要增長動力。惟他表示，雖然訪港旅客數上升，但仍要不斷提升自身的競爭力和吸引力，推動香港旅遊業朝多元、高增值、可持續的方向發展。陳茂波指，考慮到今年上半年經濟的實際數字和下半年的情況，把今年全年經濟增長的預測修訂至4.0%至5.0%，較五月覆檢時的3.5%至5.5%收窄一個百分點。
後話
高估？低估？都是估？
The downward revision of HK GDP growth to 4.8% from 6.5% in 2023 is attributed primarily to subdued external trade performance. Slowdown of the global economy is evident in exports data of key trading partners in May: India (-30.7%), Japan (-26.4%), Taiwan (-24.7%), Singapore (-18.9%), Netherlands (-18.5%), the USA (-17.5%), China (-17.5%), South Korea (-15.3%), UAE (-10.5%), and Vietnam (-0.5%).
Hong Kong’s recovery
Hong Kong has also rebounded after the border reopening, and KPMG has forecast economic growth for the city of 2.7% in 2023. Like the Chinese Mainland, the city has benefited from the end of Covid restrictions, which is evidenced by the tourism sector. Although the numbers have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, arrivals have recovered sharply and the upward trend seems set to continue.
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