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樓市大跌後或難以拯救 政府應積極推出措施

劉鑾雄:樓市大跌後或難以拯救 政府應積極推出措施

rthk 2023-11-10 HKT 18:29

  • 劉鑾雄表示,如果政府再不積極推出措施,樓價可能會繼續下跌,關注樓市大跌後會難以拯救。(李臻昇攝)
    劉鑾雄表示,如果政府再不積極推出措施,樓價可能會繼續下跌,關注樓市大跌後會難以拯救。(李臻昇攝)
華人置業大股東劉鑾雄接受傳媒訪問時表示,如果政府再不積極推出措施,樓價可能會繼續下跌,關注樓市大跌後難以拯救。至於政府應否撤辣,劉鑾雄說,明白政府處於兩難,例如要解決劏房問題,亦要樓價回落配合,當中存在矛盾。

劉鑾雄提到,港鐵東涌東站第一期發展項目錄得「零標書」,反映地產界看不透用甚麼價錢才能清貨。他強調,發展商投地需要計數,市場不敢在美國利率高企時入市,傾向預留一定資金。

他指,目前經濟環境下,香港人人都希望自保和渡過困難時期,關注如果高利率環境持續2至3年,相信不少大型公司都會經營困難,認為目前營商環境惡劣,投資需要小心。

對於華置早前以約9700萬元沽出銅鑼灣東角道一個舖位。劉鑾雄指,目前零售環境與以往不同,東角道舖位高峰時期價值2億至3億元,在目前環境下價錢已算好,如果價錢理想,未來會繼續賣舖。

後話

似是要有排等了!若要救港樓市,可能就要先救活內地房市?





Global Competitiveness Index 2023: Denmark, Ireland, and Switzerland Lead the Way

Global Competitiveness Index 2023: Denmark, Ireland, and Switzerland Lead the Way

 
2023 Global Competitiveness Index, published by the International Institute for Management Development (IMD), has named Denmark, Ireland, and Switzerland as the top three most competitive economies among 64 nations surveyed. The report highlights the unique approaches taken by these countries to achieve competitiveness and emphasizes the importance of long-term value creation. In this article, we will delve into the rankings, key findings, and notable advancements and challenges faced by various countries.

Global Competitiveness Index 2023: Top Three Economies

    Denmark: Retaining its first-place position from last year, Denmark continues to demonstrate exceptional competitiveness. The country’s efficient utilization of markets and trading partners contributes to its success.
Ireland: Making an impressive leap from 11th place in the previous year, Ireland secures the second spot. Its ability to capitalize on market access and trading opportunities enhances its competitiveness. 

Switzerland: Despite dropping from second place in 2022 and first place in 2021, Switzerland maintains its position in the top three. The country’s strategic utilization of its market access and trading partners sustains its competitiveness.
Global Competitiveness Index 2023: Denmark, Ireland, and Switzerland Lead the Way
Global Competitiveness Index 2023: Denmark, Ireland, and Switzerland Lead the Way

Top 10 Economies in the 2023 Global Competitiveness Index Rank

  1. Denmark
  2. Ireland
  3. Switzerland
  4. Singapore
  5. Netherlands
  6. Taiwan
  7. Hong Kong
  8. Sweden
  9. United States
  10. United Arab Emirates

Global Competitiveness Index 2023: India’s Position: Progress Amidst Challenges

India, despite experiencing a slight drop of three ranks, finishes in 40th place in the 2023 Global Competitiveness Index, indicating an improvement compared to its consistent 43rd position between 2019 and 2021. The IMD report highlights several areas of advancement and challenges faced by India in its pursuit of competitiveness.

Areas of Improvement:

  1. Government Efficiency: India demonstrated improvement in government efficiency, reflecting positive developments in governance and public administration.
  2. Exchange Rate Stability: The stability of India’s exchange rate played a significant role in boosting its competitiveness score, contributing to a favorable business environment.
  3. Compensation Levels and Pollution Control: India’s competitive score benefited from its compensation levels and efforts to improve pollution control, emphasizing a focus on sustainable practices.

Global Competitiveness Index 2023: Noteworthy Advancements:

  1. Ireland’s Remarkable Leap: Ireland’s ascent from 11th to second place demonstrates its commitment to competitiveness. The country’s access to markets and trading partners has played a pivotal role in its remarkable progress.

  2. Singapore’s Consistency: Despite falling one spot to fourth place, Singapore remains a highly competitive economy. The country’s ability to leverage its market access and maintain consistency in competitiveness is commendable.
  3. India’s Progress: India, ranking 40th, experienced an improvement from its previous position of 43rd. Notable strengths for India include exchange rate stability, compensation levels, and advancements in pollution control. However, there are challenges to address, such as maintaining high GDP growth, controlling inflation and fiscal deficit, and accelerating digital transformation.

Challenges and Regional Insights:

  1. Europe’s Prominence: European economies dominated the top 10 rankings in 2023, with five countries featured. Denmark, Switzerland, Ireland, Netherlands, and Sweden showcased their competitive prowess, although Sweden slipped four places from the previous year.

  2. South American Lag: Six South American countries occupied the bottom 10 positions in the index, with Venezuela ranking last at 64th place. Argentina, Mongolia, South Africa, Brazil, Botswana, and Colombia also faced competitiveness challenges.
  3. Arab World Advancements: Saudi Arabia climbed seven places to reach the 17th rank globally and ranked third in the Arab world. Qatar improved by six places, securing the 12th position worldwide and second in the Arab world. Bahrain advanced five places to claim the 25th spot globally and fourth in the Arab world. The United Arab Emirates maintained its leadership in the Arab world, securing the tenth position globally. Jordan saw a two-place advancement, ending at 54th place globally but last in the Arab world at the sixth position.

The World’s Most Talent Competitive Countries, 2023

The World’s Most Talent Competitive Countries, 2023

A country’s talent is its powerhouse. Attracting, developing and retaining skilled individuals isn’t just a strategy – it shapes a nation’s success in the global arena.

For ten years, the Global Talent Competitiveness Index (GTCI) has evaluated the talent performance of countries, guiding decision makers in shaping policies and practices to boost their competitive edge.

In this year’s GTCI rankings comprising 134 countries, Switzerland emerges as the leading nation in cultivating talent, closely followed by Singapore and the United States. Denmark, the Netherlands, Finland, Norway, Australia, Sweden and the United Kingdom complete the rest of the top ten.

GTCI data from the past decade reveals that Switzerland has maintained its top position for ten consecutive years. Singapore has held second place every year except 2020, and the United States, while somewhat less steady, has predominantly stayed within the top four.

The top ten list has remained remarkably stable over the past ten years, primarily dominated by smaller European countries. This year, European nations also secured 17 positions in the top 25. The most notable change in the top 25 is the absence of Japan, replaced by South Korea for the first time.

All eyes on emerging economies

Over the past decade, we’ve seen an unwavering link between a country's wealth and its talent competitiveness, with richer economies continuing to outshine poorer economies. 

While the global talent scene remains uneven and unequalthe progress made by emerging economies provides reason for optimism. Each year, we assess how talent performance changes over extended periods, categorising countries as talent “champions”, “movers”, “limpers” or “laggards”.

Notably, in the past year, China has risen in the rankings from 47th to 40th place, transitioning from a talent mover to a talent champion. Indonesia maintained its status as a talent mover but has made remarkable strides in talent competitiveness over the past decade. Mexico has shifted from being a talent laggard to a talent mover. 

Although Brazil is still among the talent laggards, it has progressed within that quadrant and may well soon shift to becoming a talent mover. All four countries have improved their ability to retain talent.

The proportion of countries from Latin America classified as talent champions has risen from 3 percent in 2020 to 6 percent in 2023. Similarly, Western Asia's representation among the talent champions has increased from 9 percent to 13 percent over the same period.


Deepening divides and changing attitudes

Year after year, talent inequalities have persisted within societies. Gender inequalities prove remarkably hard to reduce. GTCI data show significant progress in legal and regulatory environments, whereby an increasing number of countries have committed to reducing gender gaps in labour markets. However, such efforts have been slowed (and sometimes reversed) by Covid-19. Altogether, they remain insufficient and need to be accelerated.

In large parts of the world, our analyses show that women continue to face unequal pay and limited career growth. In many poorer and emerging economies, the gender divide is even stronger, as girls struggle to access higher education. While Covid-19 worsened these divides, pushing some to irreversible levels, the post-pandemic recovery may deepen them even further. 

The pandemic years reshaped our global talent landscape in more ways than one. New norms have emerged and are here to stay, including remote and online working. Workers, especially high-skilled individuals, are no longer bound by physical locations and can now choose where they live and work.

We observed that the correlation between a country's quality of life and its talent performance was strong before Covid, and we anticipate that it will only grow stronger in the years ahead.

Before the pandemic, we identified a positive trend of global “brain circulation” – a departure from the concepts of brain drain or brain gain. For national economies and enterprises, it had become advantageous to perceive talent as a fluid resource, benefitting from international exposure.

However, the pandemic disrupted the flow of talent across nations. While travel has resumed, persistent uncertainties and geopolitical tensions continue to hinder direct cooperation and limit the exchange of talent between nations.

The 2021 edition of the GTCI predicted that the post-Covid recovery might follow a “K-shaped” trajectory, deepening inequalities among workers based on their skills. The upper branch of the “K” represents workers in strategic sectors, equipped with future-ready skills, while the lower branch spells a challenging path for less skilled or adaptable workers.

k-shaped recovery

Given this scenario, we assumed that the new generation preparing to enter the workforce would prioritise acquiring high-demand skills and target the most dynamic sectors. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a different trend. We found a growing proportion of younger individuals more focused on pursuing meaningful work, contributing to positive societal or environmental impacts and achieving a healthier work-life balance.

This shift has also given rise to a new generation of workers for whom the traditional concept of “employee loyalty” has rapidly eroded. An increasing number of workers are opting for gigs, “slashing” and short-term contracts, allowing them the flexibility to work independently and pursue diverse opportunities.

How talent competition will change in the next ten years

In the rapidly changing and uncertain decade ahead, the world of work will further transform, driven by evolving expectations from younger generations, new economic models and emerging technologies like artificial intelligence.

Attracting, growing and retaining talent will gain even more importance as a driver of competitiveness, innovation and geo-political soft power. This will be true for nations, cities and organisations alike.

Consequently, this heightened focus on talent will also fuel fiercer competition. As uncertainties and international tensions accumulate, we should expect more rather than less talent wars. Domestic labour market challenges and rising nationalism will further intensify these battles, in particular around immigration policies.

Cities and regions will stand as pioneers in this evolving scenario. Through our Global City Talent Competitiveness Index, we've witnessed the rise of new talent hubs in cities and how core issues such as sustainability, innovation and talent have largely shifted from national to local governments. Looking ahead, we anticipate that cities and regions will pioneer new talent and innovation strategies.

Over the next ten years, skills and education will remain vital tools to empower workers to make meaningful contributions to their economies and societies. It is our responsibility to build an inclusive global workforce, ensuring equal opportunities for all to contribute towards creating a fairer and more sustainable world.

While these are only predictions, in the last ten years, the GTCI has often anticipated patterns before they unfolded. Stay tuned to witness how these emerging trends might reshape the world of work as we know it.

Video edited by Abdelouakil Mustapha.


後話




環顧各大都市 香港仍是好地方?

環顧各大都市 香港仍是好地方? 力谷樓股經濟、土地不再流標!

環顧各大都市 香港仍是好地方? 力谷樓股經濟、土地不再流標!
撰文:蔡志忠
出版:更新:

執筆之時,電視新聞正在播放直至今年10月份,已經有7萬名通過高才通計劃獲批的優才和專才進入香港,比原本的目標多了1倍。行政長官李家超高興地指出,這證明香港仍然是全球最吸引人才的地方,他為此感到十分驕傲。盡管如此,也希望這些優才生和高才生能夠早日找到理想工作,長留香港,發揮個人專長,貢獻香港也成就自己。

在筆者的眼中,香港從來都是好地方,縱然近年經濟不景氣,社會也發生很大變化,但仍然難以改變我的看法。很多朋友提出質疑,認為香港已經褪色,從這麼多人移民外國的例子就是一個證明。說得也有道理,我承認香港和從前的確有些不同,可是其他國家或城市何嘗不也是在改變中,他們也並非向好的方向發展。

為何人才開始從獅城、倫敦、日本、台灣回流?

就以我們喜歡與之作比較的城市為例,如獅城新加坡、英國倫敦、日本東京以及寶島台灣,看看事態如何發展?新加坡採取「先寛後嚴」的策略,近幾年寬鬆地大量放進國外(尤其是中國)的資金和企業,據說有逾1,000億美元的資金流入獅城,這大部份是搶走了本來要進入香港的投資者。正當香港懂得婉惜之時,最近發現部分資金和人才開始回流香港,原因為何?還是覺得香港好!新加坡市場比較小,缺乏能夠完整發揮的營商平台,資金與人才忽然大量湧進,自然難以消化。眼見資金氾濫,獅城政府動起腦筋,開始調查這些中國富豪移民的資金來源,結果不單止要凍結,還沒收了近200億港元資產。這只是冰山一角,調查剛剛開始,人心自然也惶惶。

英國又如何?倫敦是最多港人移民的城市,這當然有其歷史背景原因。拿BNO的港人移民英國條件是要留英5年+ 1年,就是移居英國6年才能入籍。可是歐洲戰事彌漫,難民大量湧入英國,新移民找工作變得愈來愈難,如何渡過這6年漫長的生活難關?於是有人開始回流,難忘香港昔日的歡樂時光;當然,有錢人移民英國比較容易,他們尤其喜歡投資倫敦的房地產,不過由於當地經濟差物價高,租務市場表現疲弱,租金回報愈來愈少,與此同時,貨幣貶值也帶來巨大損失,近幾年移民英國不見得有什麼好消息,反倒見到不少人開始回流香港發展。

至於東京也好,台灣也好,也沒什麼好消息,日本經濟雖然不錯,日元卻大幅貶值,買賣樓稅率挺高,雖有升值,全部輸了匯率,可謂得不償失;台灣是一個選舉之都,每天的新聞就是如何拉票、選舉、支持哪位候選人等,執政者忘記了經濟民生問題,企業早已往外發展,有錢人也不會留在台灣,此處不僅經濟不景,還經常有地震颱風水災,更隨時要被回歸大陸,故與其要移民台灣,不如留在香港發展更好,反正都是中國人的地方。

衰退比別人少 香港仍然有吸引力

說來說去,正如著名歌星羅文與甄妮的經典名曲「世間始終你好」那樣,香港最終仍是世界上最好的地方!因為世界戰爭蔓延、中美貿易糾紛、中西制度之爭等等,無人能夠獨善其身。正是大家都在退步,如果香港退步比較少,能夠保持一國兩制的獨特地位和優勢,讓優良傳統文化繼續傳承,將不良和衰退的部分盡量減少,自然仍有其吸引人的地方。

未來的日子,香港必須做好準備,全力以赴推谷經濟。如今樓股雙雙不振,如何激活股市交投,創造IPO上市商機,保持國際金融中心地位;同樣地,如何讓樓市恢復正常成交量,不一定要做到有價,但必須要有市,有成交經濟就有流通機會。地皮不可以總是流標,如變成一種常態會讓人笑話,近日港鐵公司東涌東站第1期項目臨海優質地皮沒有人落標,是香港歷史上第二次沒人問津,甚為可惜,值得引以爲鑒

原文網址: 環顧各大都市 香港仍是好地方? 力谷樓股經濟、土地不再流標! | 香港01 https://www.hk01.com/article/960302?utm_source=01articlecopy&utm_medium=referral


後話

全文最可取的是那首段句「希望這些優才生和高才生能夠早日找到理想工作,長留香港,發揮個人專長,貢獻香港也成就自己。」

對任何新移民在何城市可合適,若無工作,無法發揮個人專長,無法貢獻社會,也成為社會的負擔。而他們也會考慮移走它地又或回歸原出生地。

作者似長期處於自閉的心態和環境?須知,任何城市有優點也有弊點,新移民是需要時間去適應,包括新移民到香港人仕,若不願去適應去接受改變,則移去甚麼地方城市也會想回到長期習慣了的出生地。作者有否移民過?又或不够一年因不想改習慣而回歸原地。

又謂「至於東京也好,台灣也好,也沒什麼好消息」。

在香港看地道新聞只常睇到海外各地罪案死人塌樓的報導,又怎會常睇到有讚美和好的新聞?幾十歲人學者應知這而多睇外國新聞,用平常心和引取資訊心多去下旅遊去擴闊眼光思維。

又謂「眼見資金氾濫,獅城政府動起腦筋,開始調查這些中國富豪移民的資金來源,結果不單止要凍結,還沒收了近200億港元資產。這只是冰山一角,調查剛剛開始,人心自然也惶惶。」

作者不去查清楚上述事件涉及洗黑錢犯法活動(新聞也有報道多時),便胡亂地去講成是政府非法式凍結這些新移民財產?作者又會否認為新移民洗黑錢是無可厚非?香港也會接受 just let go?    

又謂:「我承認香港和從前的確有些不同,可是其他國家或城市何嘗不也是在改變中,他們也並非向好的方向發展。」 

在2023年全球宜居城市,香港又第幾排位?不要坐井觀天去論天下?

這是怎樣的思維?繼續夢想只要樓股市再暴升、賣地不流標,便能再發大財,便是全港人幸福開心指標?

作者又有否睇過新聞和報告『全球化智库(CCG)和联合国移民署(IOM)联合举办了《世界移民报告2022》(中文版)发布暨国际移民问题线上研讨会。』? 何是移民遷到的國家和何是移民來源國?不要做井底蚝吧!



联合国报告:中国移民输出全球第4 最爱移民美国

来源:界面

2017-01-11 08:19

据界面新闻1月10日报道,联合国2015全球移民报告显示,全球国际移民人数在2015年已达到2.44亿。目前,国际移民居住最多的国家是美国。印度是最大的移民输出国,中国列第四。

所谓国际移民人数是指在一国出生并在其它国家居住的人口数量,其中也包括难民。根据联合国的统计,自2000年至今,国际移民人数增加了7100万,增幅为41%。而且,2.44亿国际移民人数中包括约2000万难民。

联合国的这份报告称,国际移民人数增长比世界人口增长更快,2015年世界人口中的3.3%是移民,而在欧洲、北美和大洋洲地区,国际移民人数至少占其总人口的10%。

目前,国际移民居住最多的国家是美国,约4700万人,其次是德国和俄罗斯,人数都为1200万。从国际移民的出生地来看,印度是最大的移民输出国,有1600万人移民海外,其次是墨西哥和俄罗斯,中国排在第四位,有1000万人。

香港樓價連跌四周!本週二手樓價指數創逾6年半新低

香港樓價連跌四周!本週二手樓價指數創逾6年半新低

investing. com   格隆匯

發布 2023年11月10日 

香港樓價連跌四周!本週二手樓價指數創逾6年半新低

格隆匯11月10日|反映主要大型屋苑二手住宅樓市走勢的中原城市領先指數CCL最新報153.59點,按周微跌0.05%。CCL連跌四周共2.18%,本週指數創逾6年半新低,重返2017年4月中時水平。

本週港島樓價亦吿失守,蒸發年內升幅,即今年8大指數全部倒跌。

中原城市大型屋苑領先指數CCL Mass報153.63點,按周跌0.08%;CCL中小型單位指數報152.47點,按周跌0.05%。兩項指數齊跌四周,分別累跌2.05%及1.99%,同創逾6年半新低,同樣重返2017年3月底時水平。

CCL大型單位指數報159.18點,按周跌0.05%,連跌九周共5.43%,指數創逾6年新低,重返2017年10月底時水平。


後話

但可無須擔心!







香港僅叁成AI企業盈利 近半數機構技術人才招聘困難

報告:香港僅叁成AI企業盈利 近半數機構技術人才招聘困難 

investing. com   智通財經

報告:香港僅叁成AI企業盈利 近半數機構技術人才招聘困難


智通財經APP獲悉,11月10日,香港生産力促進局與香港大學經管學院香港經濟及商業策略研究所發表的《香港人工智能産業發展研究》報告顯示,香港人工智能産業面臨需求、挑戰及機遇。

研究采訪了216間AI相關企業,結果指出僅約叁成(31%)企業能達致盈利,而最大的挑戰爲算力及數據不足,以及招聘技術人才的困難,近半數(49%)受訪企業表示遇到技術人才招聘困難,41%認爲因香港缺乏相關技術人才。

受訪的AI企業中,四分一爲大型企業,其余爲中小企。55%企業預計將開拓國際及香港本地市場,更有14%和11%企業分別選擇于香港和內地拓展業務。大型企業中逾半數(51%)表示有盈利。

資金來源方面,43%指包括來自港府資助基金、19%則指涉及創業投資或天使基金。而企業主要收入方面,約六成(63%)收入來自香港,19%來自內地,15%來自海外。

調查又提到,香港AI産業面對算力不足、數據不足及招聘困難叁大挑戰。超過四成(44%)企業正面對“算力不足”的挑戰,因此約七成(71%)企業使用雲計算服務。逾四成(44%)企業則表示難以收集數據,16%表示需要長時間才能收集數據,8%表示沒有相關數據。

香港生産力促進局首席數碼總監黎少斌建議,完善基礎設施,建立亞洲領先超算中心,構建“國際大數據樞紐”,亦建議香港政府帶頭推廣大規模AI應用,以AI賦能香港行業升級轉型及發展“AI企業國際融資中心”。

港大經管學院副院長鄧希炜則建議,普及AI教育壯大人才,港府亦可制定政策鼓勵AI企業,把非香港本地AI技術員工遷移到香港,吸引全球AI人才。

作者:: 智通財經


後話

這些人才短缺困難,應很快會不是問題吧?!但竟缺乏了大數據這基本運作支援?到現在才去計劃建立數據中心?






香港多幅土地流標 甯漢豪:不影響港府造地決心

香港多幅土地流標 甯漢豪:不影響港府造地決心

智通財經

發布 2023年11月10日 

香港多幅土地流標 甯漢豪:不影響港府造地決心

智通財經APP獲悉,近期香港多幅土地流標,包括港鐵(00066)東湧東站項目。香港發展局局長甯漢豪認爲,項目招標成功與否,亦要看個別發展商的投資策略,情況不能一概而論,強調香港政府造地決心不會動搖。

對于11月9日港鐵東湧東站1期項目流標,有意見稱該項目配套不足,甯漢豪指,招標條款是由港鐵公司負責制訂,不方便評論,但相信港鐵與香港政府一樣,每次項目流標過後都會檢視招標條款,相信經稍作修訂,或過一段時間後市況有變,再度推出可能會有不同效果。

甯漢豪表示,現時國際地緣政治緊張,環球經濟環境充滿變數,香港作爲向外的經濟體,難免會受到波及,認爲香港發展商在前景不明朗的情況下,對于投地持審慎保守的態度,並不難理解。

甯漢豪指,即使近期有多幅土地流標,但也有成功的例子,就如早前9月香港政府推出的啓德住宅用地都成功招標,近期油塘亦有一塊大型的現有地皮,成功進行地契的修訂。


後話

這新聞內容令讀者感到解說上出現矛盾,似是「明知山有虎偏向虎山行」? 你有你叫賣,有冇人要無所謂也可隨緣吧?